Validation of uncertainty-oriented systems models

sibel eker nature

During a two-year fellowship offered by the IIASA Postdoctoral Program, I worked on the validation of uncertainty-oriented systems models. I combined the validation approaches from decision sciences and environmental science, and employed an extensive literature analysis as well as an online survey conducted among modelling practitioners.

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National systems mapping of well-being

sibel eker system dynamics

Measuring well-being has become a major theme in public policy and governance in recent years, as researchers and policy makers attempt to unpack what exactly constitutes a "good life". In this project, together with the researchers from the IIASA's Advanced Systems Analysis program, I developed a conceptual model of how human capital is formed and it affects national well-being. Based on the OECD indicators for well-being (Better Life Index), the project identified the interconnections between these indicators following a grounded theory approach on academic literature. Hence, it brought a systems thinking perspective to current compartmental well-being measurement approaches.

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Resilience of the Transport Network in Bangladesh

sibel eker delft

This project at TU Delft, funded by the World Bank, evaluated the vulnerabilities of the Bangladesh's multi-modal transport network to climate change, specifically to flood events. In particular, I contributed to the development of a TCP-based distributed simulation architecture called Sim0MQ (based on ZeroMQ messaging library) and incorporated it into the model-based scenario analysis software EMA-Workbench. I was also responsible for generating georeferenced flood scenarios.

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HEW: Integrated decision-making about Housing, Energy and Wellbeing

sibel eker ucl

This project at UCL Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering was funded by EPSRC Platform Grant on Complex Built Environment Systems (CBES). While contributing to the participatory modelling workshops of the project, I was mainly responsible for developing a system dynamics simulation model to understand the mechanisms behind fragmented decision making in the UK's housing sector, and for organizing and coordinating the stakeholder workshops. I also contributed to the development and use of an online interactive simulation environment (HEW-ISE) in stakeholder workshops.

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Dealing with uncertainties in the Dutch gas sector: An exploratory modelling and analysis approach

My PhD project was within a large research program called Energy Delta Gas Research (EDGAR), funded by the Dutch natural gas production and utility companies, as wells as the Ministries of Internal Affairs and Finance. I worked towards providing policy recommendations based on a robust decision making framework that acknowledges deep uncertainties, and using a simulation model I developed to capture the natural, economic and social dimensions of the Dutch energy sector, natural and renewable gas in particular.

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